Identifying patients likely to fall in hospital |
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Study
Data were collected prospectively on 7900 patients in 58 hospitals during an eight-month observation period. All admitted patients were enrolled, without exception. The study lasted to discharge or death. In Italy nurses must record all falls, and doctors must review the consequences of all falls and report serious falls to the hospital administrators.
For every patient a special questionnaire was filled out by a trained physician. This included all drugs used in hospital, and drugs used in the 30 days before entering hospital. Benzodiazepines particularly were recorded and characterised by their half-life (long - greater than 24 hours; short - 12 to 24 hours; very short - less than 6 hours). Cognitive status was also assessed with a validated scale. Diseases and diagnoses were recorded, together with comorbidities.
Incidence of falling was calculated as the number of patients with one or more falls divided by the total number of patients. A multivariate regression model was used to identify factors independently associated with falling.
Results
Of the 7900 patients 74% were older than 64 years and 34% older than 85 years. There were 1870 users of benzodiazepines. Falls occurred in 174 patients (2.2%). Multivariate analysis identified a number of factors independently associated with an increased risk of a fall (Table 1). The incidence of falls increased dramatically as combinations of these risk factors occurred together (Figure 1).
Table 1: Independent risk factors identified by multivariate analysis
| Item | Multivariate odds ratio (95% CI) |
| Age >80 years | 2.7 (1.5 to 4.7) |
| Benzodiazepine very short half life | 1.9 (1.03 to 3.3) |
| Benzodiazepine short half life | 1.8 (1.2 to 2.8) |
| Other psychotropic agent | 2.3 (1.6 to 3.2) |
| Antidiabetic drug | 1.5 (1.03 to 2.2) |
| More than 5 drugs | 1.6 (1.02 to 2.6) |
| Three or more diseases | 1.7 (1.05 to 2.8) |
| Cognitive impairment | 1.6 (1.08 to 2.3) |
| Length of stay 17 days or more | 2.1 (1.4 to 3.3) |
Figure 1: How the incidence of falling increases with combinations of risk factors |
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